{"id":1988,"date":"2017-02-01T19:26:36","date_gmt":"2017-02-01T19:26:36","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/wordpress.rose-hulman.edu\/rickert\/?page_id=1988"},"modified":"2017-03-29T18:15:30","modified_gmt":"2017-03-29T18:15:30","slug":"ma381-introduction-to-probability-with-statistical-applications","status":"publish","type":"page","link":"https:\/\/wordpress.rose-hulman.edu\/rickert\/ma381-introduction-to-probability-with-statistical-applications\/","title":{"rendered":"MA381 Introduction to Probability with Statistical Applications"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Textbook: <i>Fundamentals of Probability with Stochastic Processes<\/i>, by Saeed Ghahramani.<br \/>\nJohn Rickert, Associate Professor of Mathematics<br \/>\n<b>Office:<\/b> G-215A, Crapo Hall<br \/>\n<b>Phone:<\/b> (812) 877-8473<br \/>\n<b>CM<\/b>: 141<br \/>\n<b>e-mail:<\/b> <a href=\"mailto:john.rickert@rose-hulman.edu\">rickert@rose-hulman.edu<\/a><br \/>\nMy <a href=\"http:\/\/wordpress.rose-hulman.edu\/rickert\/jhrs-teaching-schedule-2\/\" target=\"_blank\">Schedule<\/a><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: small\">Final Exam, Tuesday, May 26, 1:00PM-5:00PM in G315,G317<\/span><\/p>\n<hr \/>\n<p>Homework<\/p>\n<p>For <i>Tuesday, March 10<\/i>: pp 9-11: #2,5,7,14,15,20. Turn in these exercises on Thursday.<br \/>\nFor <i>Thursday, March 12<\/i>: Turn in the homework exercises from pp9-11.<br \/>\npp 23-4 #1,4,11,14. Turn in these exercises on Tuesday.<br \/>\n<i>Friday, March 13<\/i>: No class<\/p>\n<p>For <i>Monday, March 16<\/i>: page 25 #20,21,25.<br \/>\nFor <i>Tuesday, March 17<\/i>: Turn in the p23-4 exercises (1,4,11,14). pp 34-5 #1,4,8,10,13. Turn in these exercises on Friday.<br \/>\nFor <i>Thursday, March 19<\/i>: pp 34-5 #1,4,8,10,13. Turn in these exercises on Friday.<br \/>\nFor <i>Friday, March 20<\/i>: Quiz covering material from Chapter 1. Use of computers and calculators is allowed for computation.<br \/>\nTurn in the pp34-5 exercises. pp 45-6 #1,3,15,23,25.<\/p>\n<p>For <i>Monday, March 23<\/i>: pp51-2 #2,3,13. Turn in these exercises on Thursday.<br \/>\nFor <i>Tuesday, March 24<\/i>: Turn in the pp51-2 exercises. pp64-7 #11,25,29,33.<br \/>\nFor <i>Thursday, March 26<\/i>: Review Chapters 1 and 2 in preparation for Friday&#8217;s Exam.<br \/>\nSome sample review problems: pp35-7 #1,4,8,10,13; pp 72-4 #3,10,14,28.<br \/>\n<i>Friday, March 27<\/i>: The average score on Exam #1 was 141\/180. Equivalent grades are A 153-174 B 135-152 C 117-134 D 99-116 F &lt;99.<\/p>\n<p>For <i>Monday, March 30<\/i>: work exercises p82 #3,4. Turn in these exercises on Thursday.<br \/>\nFor <i>Tueday, March 31<\/i>: p83-4 #10,21. Turn in these exercises on Thursday.<br \/>\nFor <i>Thursday, April 2<\/i>: Turn in the p82-4 exercises (3,4,10,21).<br \/>\nPeriod 8: pp87-8 #3,8,11.<br \/>\nFor <i>Friday, April 3<\/i>: pp87-8 #3,8,11; p96-8 #2,4,11,14,19.<\/p>\n<p>For <i>Monday, April 13<\/i>: p105-6 #1,6,7,11. Turn in these exercises on Tuesday.<br \/>\nFor <i>Tuesday, April 14<\/i>: Turn in the p105-6 exercises. pp119-123 #4,9,19,29,35.<br \/>\nFor <i>Thursday, April 16<\/i>: pp150-2 #4,5,6,16,17. Turn in these exercises on Monday.<br \/>\nFor <i>Friday, April 17<\/i>: pp 157-9 #1,5,7,9,14.<\/p>\n<p>For <i>Monday, April 20<\/i>: Turn in the pp150-2 exercises. p173-5 #6,9,12,15,17. For <i>Tuesday, April 21<\/i>: pp182-3 #1,3,5,8,13.<br \/>\nFor <i>Thursday, April 23<\/i>: p185 #2.<br \/>\n<i>Friday, April 24<\/i>: The average score on Exam #2 was 102.0\/130. Equivalent grades are A 113-130 B 96-112 C 79-95 D 62-78 F &lt;62.<br \/>\nFor <i>Tuesday, April 28<\/i>: pp196-200 #2,4,9,15,27,33. Turn in these exercises on Thursday.<br \/>\nFor <i>Thursday, April 30<\/i>: Turn in the pp196-200 exercises. pp211-214 #1,7,11,25.<br \/>\nFor <i>Friday, May 1<\/i>: pp211-214 #1,7,11,25; pp224-230 1,4,7,12,17,27.<br \/>\nFor <i>Monday, May 4<\/i>: Turn in the pp224-230 exercises. pp238-240 #3,5,8,9,10.<br \/>\nFor <i>Tuesday, May 5<\/i>: pp245-6 #3,8; pp254-6 #2,3,6,12.<br \/>\nFor <i>Thursday, May 7<\/i>: pp 266-7 #2,4,10,11,17. Turn in these exercises on Tuesday<br \/>\nFor <i>Friday, May 8<\/i>: pp 281-4 #1,9,11,16,28,33.<\/p>\n<p>For <i>Monday, May 11<\/i>: pp 281-4 #1,9,11,16,28,33; pp290-1 #1,3,9,11.<br \/>\nFor <i>Tuesday, May 12<\/i>: Turn in the pp266-7 exercises.<br \/>\npp 326-9 #3,6,8,11,15,22.<br \/>\nFor <i>Thursday, May 14<\/i>: pp339-341 #2,4,9,18; pp 353-5 #1,9,11.<br \/>\n<i>Friday, May 15<\/i>: Exam #3.<\/p>\n<p>For <i>Monday, May 18<\/i>: pp 412-4 #6,7,19; pp 424-8 #1,18a,25.<br \/>\nFor <i>Tuesday, May 19<\/i>: pp433-4 #1,3; pp 444-7 #1,5,15.<br \/>\nFor <i>Friday, May 21<\/i>: pp 465-6 #2,8,11; pp474 #6,15; p484 #5; p506 #1,3,6,7.<br \/>\nSome end-of-chapter review problems pp 35-7 #1,4,8,10,13; pp 72-4 #3,10,14,28; pp 136-7 #1,5,15; pp185-7 #1,7,9; pp228-30 #1,13,23; pp258-9 #1,5,7; pp308-10 #1,7,14,18; pp365-7 #1,3,5,13,15; pp 454-5 #1,3,7,15; pp507-9 #1,2,3,6,7,12.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<hr \/>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<h3 align=\"center\">Course Policy<\/h3>\n<p>Whenever you are asked for a probability, the probability must be at least 0, and at most 1. If your answer does not lie in [0,1], you will receive no credit for the problem.<\/p>\n<p>Answers should be explained. The correct answer will be worth 1 point. The rest of the credit comes from correctly explaining how the answer is found. The words &#8220;used Maple&#8221; are not an explanation and will result in a loss of 1 point. When you use <i>Maple<\/i>, you must explain what you&#8217;ve done mathematically.<br \/>\nThe final exam will be given during finals week. If you are making arrangements for travel home, you should make sure that they will not conflict with the final exam schedule. If your parents will be purchasing airline tickets for you, you should contact them and remind them not to schedule you on a flight that might cause you fail a class.<br \/>\nThe weights for the grade are given below.<br \/>\nA stapler is probably a good investment for most of you. Multi-page homeworks should be stapled together, not mutilated.<br \/>\nPlace your <i>name<\/i> and <i>Campus Mailbox<\/i> number in the upper right-hand corner of your homework. Homework is due at the beginning of class on the day that it is due. You should turn in your homework in a pile on the desk at the front of the classroom. Homework may be turned in later but will be penalized based on just how late it is &#8211; typically<br \/>\n1 point off for turned in late during the class,<br \/>\n5% off for being turned in late the same day,<br \/>\n10% off per day. (weekends count for two days) i.e. 10 days later, it&#8217;s too late to get a makeup homework turned in.<br \/>\nWhen writing up homework, you should circle (or otherwise clearly indicate) your answers.<br \/>\nIt&#8217;s good to work together, but you should write\/type your own homework. Simply copying another person&#8217;s work or <i>Maple<\/i> file is not acceptable.<br \/>\nThe grader and I reserve the right to return as unacceptable any homework that is inadequately prepared. (full of scratch work, problems out of order, submitted on crumpled or fringed paper)<br \/>\nIf you have any questions while I&#8217;m not around, you may e-mail me at <a href=\"mailto:john.rickert@rose-hulman.edu\">john.rickert@rose-hulman.edu<\/a> and I will reply as soon as I can.<\/p>\n<p>You should come to class prepared. This means that I expect you to have done the homework, brought your book to class, silenced your cell phone, and be prepared with questions about material that you don&#8217;t understand.<br \/>\nIf you bring your cell phone please make sure that it does not ring audibly during class. Phone calls should, in general, not be answered during class. No texting during class.<br \/>\nIf you are found facebooking or texting uring class you may be penalized by a reduction in your course grade.<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>If you don&#8217;t understand something, ASK<\/li>\n<li>If I&#8217;m going too fast, STOP ME.\u00a0I enjoy mathematics. When I get on a roll, I tend to keep going.<\/li>\n<li>SHOW YOUR WORK. The correct answer will only be worth 1 point. I want to verify that you understand the process.<\/li>\n<li>If you are having problems understanding the material, see me as soon as possible.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<hr \/>\n<p>There will be 3 in-class exams each worth 15%.<br \/>\nThe final exam will be worth 30%.<br \/>\nQuizzes and Homework will be worth 25%.<br \/>\nThere may be two types of quizzes &#8212; announced and unannounced.<\/p>\n<hr \/>\n<p>Go to<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>the <a href=\"http:\/\/www.rose-hulman.edu\/academics\/academic-departments\/mathematics.aspx\" target=\"_blank\">Mathematics Department Home Page.<\/a><\/li>\n<li>my <a href=\"http:\/\/wordpress.rose-hulman.edu\/rickert\/jhrs-class-pages-list\/\" target=\"_blank\">classes page<\/a><\/li>\n<li>my <a href=\"http:\/\/wordpress.rose-hulman.edu\/rickert\/\" target=\"_blank\">home page<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p class=\"excerpt\">Textbook: Fundamentals of Probability with Stochastic Processes, by Saeed Ghahramani. John Rickert, Associate Professor of Mathematics Office: G-215A, Crapo Hall Phone: (812) 877-8473 CM: 141 e-mail: rickert@rose-hulman.edu My Schedule Final Exam, Tuesday, May 26, 1:00PM-5:00PM in G315,G317 Homework For Tuesday, March 10: pp 9-11: #2,5,7,14,15,20. Turn in these exercises on Thursday. For Thursday, March 12: Turn in the homework exercises&hellip;<\/p>\n<p class=\"more-link-p\"><a class=\"btn btn-default\" href=\"https:\/\/wordpress.rose-hulman.edu\/rickert\/ma381-introduction-to-probability-with-statistical-applications\/\">Read more<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":812,"featured_media":0,"parent":0,"menu_order":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","template":"","meta":{"footnotes":""},"class_list":["post-1988","page","type-page","status-publish","hentry"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/wordpress.rose-hulman.edu\/rickert\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/1988","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/wordpress.rose-hulman.edu\/rickert\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/wordpress.rose-hulman.edu\/rickert\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/page"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/wordpress.rose-hulman.edu\/rickert\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/812"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/wordpress.rose-hulman.edu\/rickert\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=1988"}],"version-history":[{"count":5,"href":"https:\/\/wordpress.rose-hulman.edu\/rickert\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/1988\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":3706,"href":"https:\/\/wordpress.rose-hulman.edu\/rickert\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/1988\/revisions\/3706"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/wordpress.rose-hulman.edu\/rickert\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=1988"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}